Social Security Shortfall: Why Retirees Should Build Additional Sources of Retirement Income

By Jacobs Financial Services

Key Takeaways:

  • The 2026 Social Security Trustees Report projects that the Social Security retirement trust fund could be depleted in 2032.
  • If no changes are made, Social Security could pay approximately 78% of scheduled benefits from ongoing payroll tax revenue.
  • Retirees who rely heavily on Social Security may face greater financial risk.
  • Diversifying retirement income sources can help improve long-term financial security.

For many Americans, Social Security serves as the foundation of their retirement income plan. However, the latest Social Security Trustees Report has renewed concerns about the program’s long-term funding outlook and what it could mean for future retirees.

According to the 2026 Trustees Report, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund is projected to be depleted in the fourth quarter of 2032. At that point, incoming payroll taxes would be sufficient to cover approximately 78% of scheduled benefits unless legislative changes are made.¹

While Social Security remains one of the most important retirement programs in the United States, the report highlights an important planning principle: retirees should avoid depending on a single source of income throughout retirement.

What the Social Security Funding Shortfall Means for Retirees

One of the most common misconceptions is that Social Security is “going bankrupt.”

The Trustees Report does not suggest that benefits will disappear. Rather, it indicates that the program’s reserves may become depleted if no changes are implemented. Even in that scenario, Social Security would continue collecting payroll taxes and paying benefits, although potentially at a reduced level.¹

The ultimate outcome will depend on future legislative decisions, which are impossible to predict. However, the report serves as a valuable reminder that retirement planning should account for uncertainty.

For retirees and those approaching retirement, the question becomes:

Would your retirement lifestyle be affected if Social Security benefits were lower than expected?

Why Retirement Income Diversification Matters

Just as investors diversify their portfolios, retirees should consider diversifying their income sources.

Relying too heavily on any one source of income can create unnecessary risk. A well-structured retirement income plan often includes multiple sources that work together to support spending needs throughout retirement.

Potential retirement income sources may include:

  • Social Security benefits
  • Traditional and Roth IRAs
  • 401(k) and employer-sponsored retirement plans
  • Pension income
  • Taxable investment accounts
  • Dividend-producing investments
  • Annuities, where appropriate
  • Rental property income
  • Part-time employment or consulting income

Diversification does not eliminate risk, but it can help create greater flexibility when economic conditions, tax laws, or government programs change.

How to Prepare for Potential Social Security Changes

While no one can predict exactly how Social Security will evolve, retirees can take practical steps to strengthen their retirement plans today.

Review Your Retirement Income Strategy

Understanding where your retirement income comes from can help identify potential gaps or areas of overreliance.

Stress-Test Your Retirement Plan

Consider how your plan would perform under different scenarios, including:

  • Lower-than-expected Social Security benefits
  • Higher healthcare expenses
  • Market volatility
  • Longer life expectancy

Evaluate Tax-Efficient Income Sources

Tax planning can play a significant role in retirement income sustainability. Coordinating withdrawals from taxable, tax-deferred, and tax-free accounts may help improve long-term outcomes.

Build Flexibility Into Your Plan

Retirees who have multiple income options often have greater flexibility when responding to unexpected events or changing economic conditions.

Retirement Planning Is About Preparation, Not Prediction

The Social Security funding discussion will likely continue for years to come. While policymakers debate potential solutions, retirees can focus on what they can control: building a retirement income strategy designed to support their goals regardless of future policy changes.

A comprehensive retirement plan should account for uncertainty and provide multiple sources of income that can help support financial independence throughout retirement.

At Jacobs Financial Services, we help individuals and families develop personalized retirement income strategies designed to address today’s challenges while preparing for tomorrow’s opportunities. If you’re concerned about how future Social Security changes could impact your retirement, now may be a good time to review your plan and explore ways to strengthen your income strategy.

¹ Source: Social Security Administration, 2026 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds.